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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+2.37vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+0.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.50+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.75vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.74vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.76-1.98vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35-2.13vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.23-1.25vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.70-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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2.94Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Pennsylvania2.790.1%1st Place
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4.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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4.02Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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4.87Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.75George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.45Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Morgan Watters | 21.0% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 25.7% | 22.3% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Christina Pryne | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Johnson | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 4.6% |
| Caroline Patten | 11.3% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 14.7% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 1.6% |
| Meredith Carroll | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 19.2% | 36.1% | 14.0% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 10.4% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.