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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.96+2.04vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.17+2.61vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.15+1.63vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-0.57+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.17-0.36vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.31-0.96vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.21vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-2.34+1.06vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.49-0.51vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.37+0.07vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-0.44-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Michigan Technological University0.9625.1%1st Place
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4.61Michigan Technological University-0.1711.7%1st Place
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4.63Northern Michigan University-0.1512.0%1st Place
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5.58Northern Michigan University-0.578.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Michigan-0.1711.6%1st Place
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5.04Hope College-0.3110.5%1st Place
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5.79Grand Valley State University-0.857.3%1st Place
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9.06Unknown School-2.340.9%1st Place
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8.49Northwestern University1.491.8%1st Place
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10.07Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.6%1st Place
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5.05Michigan State University-0.4410.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 25.1% | 22.7% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Marco Constantini | 12.0% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Julia Janssen | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| John McCalmont | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Henry | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Carly Irwin | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 19.1% | 34.8% | 23.2% |
| Shea Smith | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 24.7% | 29.2% | 13.4% |
| Piper Luke | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 8.4% | 20.1% | 61.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.