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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+6.59vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+2.35vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.48+7.23vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+1.95vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71-0.23vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.21+2.28vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.92-0.51vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.95+2.41vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+0.89vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.32-0.31vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37+1.55vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.65-0.74vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.99-2.52vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.45-5.82vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.65-2.88vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.39-3.04vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-0.46-1.50vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.44-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59University of Pennsylvania1.776.3%1st Place
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4.35Dartmouth College2.7518.2%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College1.483.0%1st Place
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5.95Georgetown University2.209.5%1st Place
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4.77Yale University2.7116.4%1st Place
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8.28Tulane University2.215.4%1st Place
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6.49Brown University1.929.1%1st Place
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10.41Old Dominion University0.952.9%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.184.3%1st Place
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9.69George Washington University1.323.6%1st Place
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12.55Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College0.652.6%1st Place
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10.48University of Hawaii0.993.2%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston1.456.2%1st Place
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12.12Christopher Newport University0.652.3%1st Place
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12.96University of Michigan0.391.3%1st Place
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15.5University of Miami-0.460.5%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.443.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 18.2% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.4% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 11.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Grace Squires | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.5% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 13.4% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 15.6% | 46.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.