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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+5.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.84vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+8.30vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.55+6.78vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.88vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.44+1.91vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.21+1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36-0.23vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-1.21vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-6.16vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.05-5.18vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.12-6.46vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-1.86vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.48-2.87vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-7.87vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.51-0.59vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.3Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.78Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.88SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.91Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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3.84Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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5.82Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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5.54Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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11.13Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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15.41University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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16.42Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 5.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter Miller | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 20.5% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 12.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Smyth | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 49.6% | 25.9% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 20.2% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.