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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+4.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.45vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+0.83vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.44+3.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.21+3.41vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+5.16vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.09vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63-1.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.88vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.49-2.55vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.48+0.07vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.69-5.10vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-4.85vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.55-3.10vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-3.64vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.51-0.59vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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3.83Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.77Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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11.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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9.09SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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6.95University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.07Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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10.9Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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15.41University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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16.4Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 20.9% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Jesse Thomas | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 19.2% | 7.7% | 0.9% |
| Austin Smyth | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 49.4% | 26.4% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 20.1% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.