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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+5.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.88vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.48+7.24vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.49vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+5.05vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95+4.59vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.21+1.18vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-3.41vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.99+1.29vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.32-0.40vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.65+0.73vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.45-3.70vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.20-7.14vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-1.35vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.44-4.91vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.39-3.28vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-0.46-1.75vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.65-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Brown University1.929.4%1st Place
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4.88Yale University2.7115.8%1st Place
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10.24Bowdoin College1.483.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Pennsylvania1.776.3%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University1.183.3%1st Place
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10.59Old Dominion University0.952.7%1st Place
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8.18Tulane University2.216.8%1st Place
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4.59Dartmouth College2.7517.4%1st Place
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10.29University of Hawaii0.994.0%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University1.323.1%1st Place
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11.73Connecticut College0.651.9%1st Place
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8.3College of Charleston1.455.9%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University2.2010.0%1st Place
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12.65Boston University0.371.7%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University1.443.8%1st Place
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12.72University of Michigan0.391.7%1st Place
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15.25University of Miami-0.460.7%1st Place
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12.03Christopher Newport University0.652.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.4% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.1% |
| Grace Squires | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 13.1% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 44.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.