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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+2.87vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+3.76vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+4.15vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+1.76vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.21+3.71vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63+0.33vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.36-0.55vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.79vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36+0.78vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-0.72vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.55-1.79vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.80vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.48-3.68vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.96-3.04vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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5.76Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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5.76Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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6.41Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.21SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.78Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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11.21Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.32Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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16.59Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 22.2% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Jesse Thomas | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 2.4% |
| William Godfrey | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 1.8% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 2.7% |
| Michael Grove | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 1.8% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 25.5% | 5.1% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 85.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.