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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.80+8.12vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+4.15vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+3.36vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.07+3.19vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+2.52vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-1.66vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+1.61vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.87-1.78vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.37-0.78vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.96-0.41vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.34+1.57vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University-0.16+1.70vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.05-3.33vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.84-1.76vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.69-4.73vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.19-3.20vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.05-3.92vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.05-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Brown University1.804.2%1st Place
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6.15College of Charleston1.8110.4%1st Place
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6.36Tulane University1.738.9%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College2.077.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Pennsylvania1.727.3%1st Place
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4.34Yale University2.5518.5%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College1.879.4%1st Place
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8.22Georgetown University1.376.5%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University0.964.3%1st Place
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12.57Connecticut College0.342.1%1st Place
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13.7Old Dominion University-0.161.3%1st Place
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9.67University of Hawaii1.053.9%1st Place
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12.24Christopher Newport University-0.842.4%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University0.693.2%1st Place
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12.8University of Miami0.191.7%1st Place
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13.08University of Michigan0.051.9%1st Place
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13.34Boston University-0.051.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.5% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% |
| Allison Volk | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 22.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Laura Smith | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.7% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.