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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+2.86vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+7.29vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+4.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+1.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.21+3.65vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+0.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.16vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36+3.45vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.05-2.93vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.49-2.26vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.36-3.74vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.48-1.52vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.55-2.76vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-3.69vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.96-3.04vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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9.29SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.08Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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5.75Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.45Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.07Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.48Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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11.24Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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16.61Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 23.8% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 2.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 2.8% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 1.2% |
| William Godfrey | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 1.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 26.0% | 5.5% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 6.6% | 86.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.