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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.80+8.02vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.19vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+3.51vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+6.34vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+1.39vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+1.36vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.96+2.77vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.84+4.51vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.19+3.50vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.37-1.66vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-4.84vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.72-4.54vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-4.40vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.05-4.74vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.05-1.66vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-3.60vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.05-3.97vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University-0.16-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.02Brown University1.804.7%1st Place
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4.19Yale University2.5520.0%1st Place
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6.51Tulane University1.738.8%1st Place
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10.34Tufts University0.693.4%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College1.879.2%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College2.077.3%1st Place
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9.77George Washington University0.964.0%1st Place
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12.51Christopher Newport University-0.841.5%1st Place
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12.5University of Miami0.192.1%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University1.375.9%1st Place
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6.16College of Charleston1.8110.3%1st Place
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7.46University of Pennsylvania1.726.9%1st Place
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8.6Northeastern University1.225.6%1st Place
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9.26University of Hawaii1.054.4%1st Place
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13.34Boston University-0.051.6%1st Place
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12.4Connecticut College0.341.8%1st Place
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13.03University of Michigan0.051.6%1st Place
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13.82Old Dominion University-0.160.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 20.0% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Laura Smith | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% |
| Marina Geilen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 20.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% |
| Allison Volk | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.