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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+4.52vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+1.92vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05+2.88vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.69+3.14vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+2.20vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.55+5.33vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.35vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-1.63vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.36-0.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.99vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.21-2.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.36-0.33vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.49-5.03vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.48-2.53vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-3.68vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.96-3.08vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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3.92Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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5.88Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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11.33Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.35SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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6.37Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.47Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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11.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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16.59Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 20.1% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Grove | 6.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Jesse Thomas | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 2.4% |
| Scott Houck | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 1.5% |
| William Godfrey | 1.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 1.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 25.8% | 6.1% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 7.2% | 85.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.