← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University4.05+4.73vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University4.71+1.91vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin3.36+5.28vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.49+3.86vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.24vs Predicted
-
6Boston College4.12-0.14vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.88-0.43vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont3.63-0.78vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.69-1.71vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.21-1.36vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.36+0.72vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.80vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut1.96-0.09vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-2.54vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.48-3.71vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University2.55-4.79vs Predicted
-
17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.73Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
3.91Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
-
8.28University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
-
7.86Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.24SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
-
5.86Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
6.57Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
7.22University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.29Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.64Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
-
11.72Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.2U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
12.91University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
-
11.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
-
11.29Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
-
11.21Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
-
16.61Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 21.6% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Raul Rios | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Thomas | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 2.3% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 26.8% | 6.3% |
| William Godfrey | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 1.6% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 1.7% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 1.0% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.