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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+4.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+3.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.73vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.97+4.31vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90+0.12vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.98+2.39vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.72+2.11vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-2.26vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+1.50vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41-3.32vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.63-1.46vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.52-5.54vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.02+0.86vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.77-4.87vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-0.39vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.11-4.87vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.13-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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5.95Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.31Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.12Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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5.74Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.54SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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6.46Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.86Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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14.61Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.0%1st Place
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11.13Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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16.62University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Price | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Koehler | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 28.8% | 28.7% | 6.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Guenther | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 19.7% | 44.1% | 11.5% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 0.3% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 10.7% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.