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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+5.28vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+3.71vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41+2.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.52vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.90-0.64vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.77+2.03vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.63+1.28vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98-0.59vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.97-1.82vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11+0.17vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.64-5.89vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-2.51vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology0.57+0.70vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-1.13+1.52vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.72-6.75vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.02-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.71Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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5.36Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.28SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.17Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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14.7Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.0%1st Place
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16.52University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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13.93Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 12.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Julia Paxton | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Price | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rivlin | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Guenther | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 18.6% | 44.6% | 12.6% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 11.9% | 79.8% |
| Brendan Boylan | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Koehler | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 27.1% | 28.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.