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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+7.05vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.96+7.61vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+7.18vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.23vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+1.21vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.19+5.64vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73-1.46vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.05+4.46vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.80-0.94vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.72-3.37vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-3.50vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.07-5.59vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.09-4.86vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.45vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.27-3.61vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.64-2.10vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.34-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Georgetown University1.375.8%1st Place
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9.61George Washington University0.964.5%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University0.694.1%1st Place
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4.23Yale University2.5518.3%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College1.8710.4%1st Place
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6.01College of Charleston1.8110.5%1st Place
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12.64University of Miami0.191.6%1st Place
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6.54Tulane University1.739.5%1st Place
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13.46Boston University-0.051.3%1st Place
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9.06Brown University1.804.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Pennsylvania1.727.0%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University1.225.3%1st Place
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7.41Bowdoin College2.077.2%1st Place
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9.14University of Hawaii1.093.9%1st Place
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12.55Christopher Newport University-0.842.1%1st Place
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12.39Old Dominion University0.272.0%1st Place
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14.9University of Michigan-0.640.9%1st Place
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12.48Connecticut College0.341.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.3% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.2% |
| Emma Friedauer | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.5% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 38.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.