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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.64+1.72vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+1.95vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.07+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.01+4.30vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.90-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.99-0.14vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-0.54vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.40+1.65vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.02+1.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis1.68-3.29vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.19-1.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.77vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.71-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Stanford University3.640.3%1st Place
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3.95Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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3.6Stanford University3.070.2%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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3.94Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.86University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.1%1st Place
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6.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.1%1st Place
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9.65California Poly Maritime Academy0.400.0%1st Place
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10.49California State University Monterey Bay0.020.0%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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9.98California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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9.1California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Stemler | 29.8% | 22.9% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 14.8% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Riihiluoma | 16.6% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 14.7% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Cowley | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| James Davis | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 13.8% |
| Trevor Fournier | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 29.4% |
| Ryan Lee | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 18.0% |
| Kenton Stutz | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 24.6% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.