Race 5A

chesapeake-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Owen Kohut 23.8% 21.3% 17.9% 13.4% 9.8% 7.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
Benjamin Smith 13.2% 14.5% 13.9% 14.4% 13.5% 10.8% 9.3% 7.4% 2.9%
Mats Braaten 8.5% 8.8% 10.5% 9.8% 12.6% 12.8% 14.5% 13.9% 8.6%
Hugh Carty 13.6% 12.8% 12.4% 12.0% 13.2% 12.5% 11.7% 7.6% 4.2%
Olivia Gilmore 6.2% 6.6% 7.2% 8.0% 8.8% 10.9% 14.5% 18.9% 18.9%
Joseph Marynowski 8.4% 7.4% 8.6% 10.3% 10.9% 12.5% 14.2% 16.2% 11.4%
Teddy Martin 12.2% 12.8% 13.2% 13.9% 13.2% 12.8% 9.4% 8.5% 4.1%
Eva Wieting 3.5% 3.2% 4.4% 4.9% 5.6% 7.0% 10.5% 16.4% 44.6%
Tyler Brown 10.8% 12.5% 11.8% 13.4% 12.3% 13.7% 11.6% 9.2% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.