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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+4.83vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.93+5.89vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.77+2.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.79+4.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.92+2.73vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.84+2.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58-1.42vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.73+0.32vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.67+3.01vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.27+3.39vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.86+0.50vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-2.76vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.13+2.74vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.35-7.91vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.52-2.57vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.39-3.12vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland-0.39-0.30vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-13.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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5.15Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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7.73Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
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8.32Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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12.01Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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13.39William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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11.5Hampton University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
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15.74Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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6.09Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.43Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.88SUNY Maritime College1.390.0%1st Place
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16.7University of Maryland-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Oviatt | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Myers | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Conway | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 4.7% |
| Shane Horsford | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Robert Boger | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 29.7% | 30.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bergan | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Walker | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 4.3% |
| Scott Gilson | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 22.6% | 55.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 16.7% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.