Race 8A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Caroline Henry 8.3% 10.3% 11.1% 12.5% 12.2% 13.2% 12.0% 11.7% 5.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Andrew Michels 28.5% 20.8% 16.0% 13.2% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Julia Janssen 8.0% 8.8% 10.4% 9.4% 10.9% 12.8% 14.2% 13.2% 8.8% 2.9% 0.5%
Ryan Dodge 9.6% 10.2% 11.8% 11.9% 12.4% 11.5% 12.8% 10.9% 6.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Carly Irwin 6.6% 7.7% 7.4% 8.8% 10.9% 10.7% 12.7% 18.3% 11.4% 4.8% 0.9%
Cecilia Dietsch 12.2% 13.0% 12.7% 13.4% 13.1% 11.2% 11.1% 8.2% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Marco Constantini 11.6% 13.2% 12.3% 11.8% 12.4% 12.7% 10.8% 8.8% 5.5% 0.9% 0.0%
John McCalmont 12.5% 12.0% 14.0% 13.4% 11.7% 12.1% 10.2% 8.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Alex Schlotterer 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 2.5% 3.6% 4.9% 7.0% 18.1% 36.6% 22.2%
Piper Luke 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% 9.2% 20.5% 60.2%
Shea Smith 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 3.4% 3.5% 4.4% 6.6% 8.6% 25.3% 27.9% 15.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.