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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+1.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.50+2.74vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.79vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.75vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.76-1.98vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.70+1.47vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.23-1.25vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.35-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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3.4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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5.79University of Pennsylvania2.790.1%1st Place
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4.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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4.02Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.47Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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6.75George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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4.81Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 29.4% | 22.7% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christina Pryne | 7.1% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 19.8% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Johnson | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 20.5% | 22.0% | 4.4% |
| Caroline Patten | 11.5% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Stephanie Roble | 13.9% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 11.3% | 77.4% |
| Meredith Carroll | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 38.1% | 13.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.