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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.80+8.12vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.37+6.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.28vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+2.23vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+2.55vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+0.57vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.78vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07-0.71vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.69+1.28vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.27+2.27vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.09-1.90vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-3.58vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.05+0.49vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-0.64+1.12vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.19-2.44vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-3.62vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University-0.84-4.54vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.96-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Brown University1.804.7%1st Place
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8.07Georgetown University1.376.5%1st Place
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4.28Yale University2.5518.9%1st Place
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6.23College of Charleston1.8110.4%1st Place
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7.55University of Pennsylvania1.726.2%1st Place
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6.57Tulane University1.739.6%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College1.879.2%1st Place
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7.29Bowdoin College2.078.5%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University0.693.5%1st Place
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12.27Old Dominion University0.271.9%1st Place
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9.1University of Hawaii1.095.3%1st Place
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8.42Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
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13.49Boston University-0.051.0%1st Place
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15.12University of Michigan-0.640.9%1st Place
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12.56University of Miami0.191.7%1st Place
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12.38Connecticut College0.341.6%1st Place
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12.46Christopher Newport University-0.842.1%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University0.963.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.9% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Emma Friedauer | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% |
| Morgan Carew | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 39.6% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 9.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.8% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.