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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.87+5.34vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.80+7.16vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+6.52vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.72+3.43vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-0.74vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+0.38vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81-0.97vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.69+2.15vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.96+0.35vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07-2.64vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.37-2.82vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-3.49vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University-0.16+0.73vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.05-0.53vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.19-2.43vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.19-2.98vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University-0.84-4.42vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.05-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Dartmouth College1.879.6%1st Place
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9.16Brown University1.804.2%1st Place
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9.52University of Hawaii1.054.3%1st Place
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7.43University of Pennsylvania1.726.5%1st Place
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4.26Yale University2.5518.9%1st Place
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6.38Tulane University1.739.6%1st Place
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6.03College of Charleston1.8111.2%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University0.693.1%1st Place
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9.35George Washington University0.964.6%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College2.077.7%1st Place
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8.18Georgetown University1.375.3%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University1.226.0%1st Place
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13.73Old Dominion University-0.161.2%1st Place
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13.47Boston University-0.051.7%1st Place
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12.57University of Miami0.191.6%1st Place
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13.02Connecticut College0.191.8%1st Place
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12.58Christopher Newport University-0.841.8%1st Place
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12.96University of Michigan0.050.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.9% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Allison Volk | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 21.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 19.6% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.4% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.