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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+4.88vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+6.94vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+2.24vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91+1.27vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+0.91vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.97+1.32vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.63+1.31vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+1.64vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11+1.16vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.72-1.67vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.30vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.98-4.63vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.52-7.44vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.02-1.01vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.07-0.26vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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5.24Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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5.27Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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5.69Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.31SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.16Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.99Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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15.74University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
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14.97Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 12.3% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Price | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Brendan Boylan | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Michael Popp | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Koehler | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 21.6% | 27.0% | 14.9% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 23.6% | 52.5% |
| Matthew Guenther | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 15.9% | 31.1% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.