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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+2.70vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+1.71vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+0.47vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.59+2.40vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12-2.29vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.52-1.95vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.04-3.00vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.84-3.53vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-3.93vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University1.25-6.45vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.56-3.64vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.56-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.71Boston University2.120.2%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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7.4Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.71Boston University2.120.2%1st Place
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5.05University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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6.0University of New Hampshire1.040.1%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.840.1%1st Place
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7.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
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5.55Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Sommi | 16.6% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 19.4% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 20.6% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 19.4% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ann Sager | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Kalas | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lisa Archibald | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 18.8% | 48.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 18.8% | 48.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.