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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brandeis University0.59+6.31vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+1.70vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16+0.77vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12-0.30vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.32-2.55vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.52-2.89vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University1.25-3.47vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.04-3.97vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.84-4.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.56-2.67vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.56-3.67vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.7Boston University2.120.2%1st Place
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3.77Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.7Boston University2.120.2%1st Place
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3.45Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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5.11University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
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5.53Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.03University of New Hampshire1.040.1%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.840.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hardy | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 19.1% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 17.0% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 19.1% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 20.9% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 21.2% | 23.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ann Sager | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Kalas | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 17.3% | 48.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 17.3% | 48.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lisa Archibald | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.