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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.50+3.51vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.76+2.23vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51-0.20vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-0.71vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.71vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.23+0.73vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.70+1.49vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.35-3.18vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.79-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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4.23Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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2.8Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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3.29St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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4.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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6.73George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.49Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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4.82Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Pennsylvania2.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Pryne | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 9.8% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 28.3% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 20.4% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Meredith Carroll | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 18.9% | 37.8% | 11.8% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 9.8% | 79.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Johnson | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 21.5% | 23.1% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.