Race 9A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Carly Irwin 7.4% 8.2% 8.2% 7.6% 10.1% 10.9% 13.7% 13.0% 13.3% 5.9% 1.6%
Julia Janssen 6.4% 8.7% 9.7% 9.4% 11.8% 11.7% 13.2% 12.8% 10.2% 5.5% 0.5%
Marco Constantini 11.3% 12.4% 13.2% 12.0% 12.7% 11.5% 10.3% 8.5% 6.2% 1.4% 0.4%
Caroline Henry 8.8% 9.6% 9.9% 12.0% 10.5% 11.4% 11.6% 13.2% 9.8% 2.9% 0.4%
Ryan Dodge 10.3% 9.6% 11.3% 11.8% 11.0% 12.2% 12.3% 11.0% 7.3% 2.8% 0.3%
Andrew Michels 26.2% 22.4% 17.2% 13.6% 8.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
John McCalmont 11.9% 11.2% 12.0% 12.7% 13.2% 11.9% 10.2% 9.0% 5.5% 1.9% 0.2%
Cecilia Dietsch 12.8% 11.6% 11.8% 12.8% 12.4% 12.5% 10.4% 8.6% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Luke Sadalla 3.1% 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.1% 6.9% 9.2% 13.1% 22.0% 21.2% 5.9%
Alex Schlotterer 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 2.1% 3.0% 3.9% 4.3% 6.3% 12.8% 39.5% 24.1%
Piper Luke 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.8% 6.7% 17.2% 66.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.