← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.12+2.78vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.12+1.78vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.32+0.30vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.16-0.21vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire1.04+1.34vs Predicted
-
6Brandeis University1.25-0.33vs Predicted
-
7Brandeis University0.59+0.24vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.56+1.26vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire1.52-5.04vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-3.93vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.84-5.49vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-4.92vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.56-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.78Boston University2.120.2%1st Place
-
3.78Boston University2.120.2%1st Place
-
3.3Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
-
3.79Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
-
6.34University of New Hampshire1.040.1%1st Place
-
5.67Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
-
7.24Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
-
9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.560.0%1st Place
-
4.96University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
-
7.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
-
6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.840.1%1st Place
-
8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
-
9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Bancalari | 17.8% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 17.8% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 23.5% | 21.8% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 17.0% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ann Sager | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 48.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lisa Archibald | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Kalas | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 22.0% | 18.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 48.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.