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📊 Prediction Accuracy
7.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+2.39vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+4.99vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University0.59+4.34vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.04+2.35vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.16-1.31vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12-2.25vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.12-3.25vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University1.25-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.52-4.09vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.84-4.30vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.56-2.67vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-4.94vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.84-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
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7.34Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.35University of New Hampshire1.040.1%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.75Boston University2.120.2%1st Place
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3.75Boston University2.120.2%1st Place
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5.48Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.91University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.840.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Bacon | 20.9% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lisa Archibald | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ann Sager | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 19.5% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 19.2% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 19.2% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Kalas | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Kalas | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.