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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.23vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.29vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.74+1.65vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+1.50vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.76-1.51vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+2.87vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.84+2.70vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.36-0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.68-1.93vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University2.37+1.46vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-4.66vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University1.91+0.61vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.88vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.92-7.98vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University2.21-3.14vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame1.37-1.86vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.42-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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4.65Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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7.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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4.49College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.7University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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12.46Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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7.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.61Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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14.88Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.02Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.86Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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15.14University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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14.83Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 14.0% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 14.9% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Adam Pokras | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 4.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colin Feik | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.0% |
| John Reddaway | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 24.5% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Patrick Power | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 29.0% |
| Philip Krause | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.