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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.25vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+3.70vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.94vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.76-0.56vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74-1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.68+0.82vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.94vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.36-0.11vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-2.69vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-1.08vs Predicted
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12University of Florida2.84-0.92vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University2.37-0.80vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University2.21-1.40vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.42+0.02vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University1.91-2.18vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame1.37-1.86vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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4.44College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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4.53Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.92Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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12.2Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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12.6Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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15.02Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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13.82Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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15.14University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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14.9Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 18.0% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Max Famiglietti | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Philip Krause | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 25.1% |
| Colin Feik | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 11.6% |
| Patrick Power | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 27.9% |
| John Reddaway | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.