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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+3.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.26vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+0.88vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.68+1.72vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.14vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.11-1.81vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.11+0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Florida2.84+0.92vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-4.48vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University2.21+1.04vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University2.37-0.85vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame1.37+0.83vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.00vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.42-0.97vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.91-3.27vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.36-9.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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4.88Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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6.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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6.19College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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9.7Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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6.52Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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13.04Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.15Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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15.0Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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15.03Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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13.73Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 16.3% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 14.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| William Haeger | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Michael Cornew | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Patrick Power | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 23.6% |
| John Reddaway | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 25.2% |
| Philip Krause | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 26.5% |
| Colin Feik | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 12.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.