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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.21vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+2.48vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+6.99vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.36+4.70vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.84+4.74vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.11-0.73vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08-1.68vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.55-4.16vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.70vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.92-3.93vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University1.91+1.95vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.37+1.87vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University2.37-1.98vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University2.21-2.27vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.95vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.42-2.01vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii3.68-10.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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4.48Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.99Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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6.27College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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4.84Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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13.95Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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12.02Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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12.73Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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15.05Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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14.99Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.8% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 15.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.4% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Feik | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 11.2% |
| Patrick Power | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 26.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| John Reddaway | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 24.8% |
| Philip Krause | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 26.9% |
| Adam Pokras | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.