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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.23vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+0.66vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+2.34vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+6.79vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40-0.08vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09+1.31vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.88-0.29vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.52+2.67vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.62+1.10vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.27+3.12vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.54+0.74vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24-0.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-4.79vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.52-3.15vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.79-5.25vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-0.10-3.21vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.70-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.2%1st Place
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2.66Stanford University3.3034.4%1st Place
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5.34Harvard University2.1010.1%1st Place
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10.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.561.8%1st Place
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4.92Boston College2.4012.2%1st Place
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7.31North Carolina State University1.095.5%1st Place
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6.71Cornell University1.886.9%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Naval Academy0.522.1%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University0.622.8%1st Place
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13.12SUNY Maritime College-0.271.1%1st Place
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11.74Fordham University0.541.7%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont0.241.9%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.9%1st Place
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10.85University of South Florida0.522.2%1st Place
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9.75University of Rhode Island0.792.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Rhode Island-0.101.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Wisconsin0.702.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 34.4% | 24.0% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 25.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% |
| Emma Snead | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 21.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.