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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.38vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+8.13vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.84+7.93vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.74+0.52vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+2.01vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University1.91+7.68vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36+0.86vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.98vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-2.79vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.68-3.07vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-5.17vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.76-8.60vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University2.37-1.90vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University2.21-2.17vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.42-0.94vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame1.37-1.85vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.13Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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4.52Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.01Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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13.68Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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5.06Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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4.4College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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12.1Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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12.83Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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15.06Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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15.15University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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14.89Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.1% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Feik | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 11.1% |
| Graham Landy | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 17.3% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Philip Krause | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 25.0% |
| Patrick Power | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 28.4% |
| John Reddaway | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.