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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+3.91vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.31vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+2.24vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30-1.40vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.88+1.91vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.54+5.71vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island-0.10+5.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.79+0.83vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+0.81vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.62-0.90vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.70-1.94vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.09-5.61vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-2.40vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.27-1.95vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.52-5.33vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.52-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Boston College2.4012.4%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.5%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University2.1010.4%1st Place
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2.6Stanford University3.3036.5%1st Place
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6.91Cornell University1.886.2%1st Place
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11.71Fordham University0.541.5%1st Place
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12.78University of Rhode Island-0.100.9%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.6%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island0.792.1%1st Place
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10.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.3%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University0.622.6%1st Place
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10.06University of Wisconsin0.702.5%1st Place
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7.39North Carolina State University1.094.6%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont0.241.2%1st Place
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13.05SUNY Maritime College-0.271.6%1st Place
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10.67University of South Florida0.522.0%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Naval Academy0.522.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.4% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 36.5% | 23.5% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 21.2% |
| Emma Snead | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Brook Wood | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 5.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 25.9% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.