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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+3.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.23vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.25vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.91vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.17vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+0.56vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-2.44vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.68-1.14vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11+0.07vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+4.01vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.36-2.76vs Predicted
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13University of Florida2.84-2.34vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University2.37-1.87vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame1.37+0.11vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.42-0.95vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University2.21-4.08vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.91-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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5.23Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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4.56Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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15.01Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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12.13Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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15.11University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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15.05Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.92Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.56Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 10.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.8% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| John Reddaway | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 26.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Patrick Power | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 26.0% |
| Philip Krause | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 20.3% | 24.9% |
| Peter McGrath | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 6.7% |
| Colin Feik | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.