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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+3.64vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.31vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.74+1.64vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.36+3.90vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+0.58vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92+0.08vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.88vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.11+0.93vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-2.72vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+3.98vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.42+3.23vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University2.37-0.85vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii3.68-6.34vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University2.21-2.19vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University1.91-2.23vs Predicted
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17University of Florida2.84-6.02vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame1.37-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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4.64Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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5.01Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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6.58Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.08Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.93Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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14.98Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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15.23Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.15Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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12.81Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.77Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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14.94University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 15.1% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.8% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 14.4% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 25.0% |
| Philip Krause | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 29.8% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Adam Pokras | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGrath | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 6.1% |
| Colin Feik | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 10.4% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Power | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.