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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+1.76vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.62vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+4.12vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.52+5.92vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40-0.77vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09+0.55vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.79+1.04vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+1.08vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.70-0.74vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.54-0.03vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.62-2.61vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-2.09vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.27-1.60vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-0.10-2.94vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.60-10.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Stanford University3.3032.7%1st Place
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5.62Harvard University2.109.3%1st Place
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7.12Cornell University1.885.8%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.0%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Naval Academy0.522.6%1st Place
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5.23Boston College2.4010.2%1st Place
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7.55North Carolina State University1.095.9%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.4%1st Place
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10.04University of Rhode Island0.792.7%1st Place
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11.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.561.7%1st Place
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10.26University of Wisconsin0.702.9%1st Place
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11.97Fordham University0.541.4%1st Place
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10.39Roger Williams University0.622.5%1st Place
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11.91University of Vermont0.241.4%1st Place
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13.4SUNY Maritime College-0.270.9%1st Place
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13.06University of Rhode Island-0.101.2%1st Place
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6.96University of South Florida1.606.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 32.7% | 23.8% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Brook Wood | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 27.9% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 22.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.