Race 10A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Michels 26.8% 21.3% 17.3% 12.8% 8.6% 6.3% 4.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
John McCalmont 12.3% 12.4% 12.4% 11.8% 12.1% 12.3% 10.6% 8.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Caroline Henry 9.4% 9.9% 10.4% 11.9% 11.8% 11.7% 12.2% 11.4% 7.7% 3.0% 0.4%
Carly Irwin 6.8% 7.1% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 12.1% 13.1% 14.3% 13.2% 6.5% 0.8%
Marco Constantini 10.4% 13.4% 12.6% 12.8% 12.4% 10.7% 10.9% 9.0% 6.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Julia Janssen 8.4% 9.7% 8.8% 10.2% 10.3% 10.8% 11.6% 13.8% 11.2% 4.5% 0.6%
Luke Sadalla 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.9% 7.2% 9.8% 11.6% 25.6% 19.4% 5.2%
Ryan Dodge 8.4% 9.2% 11.0% 11.2% 13.7% 12.0% 11.2% 11.5% 7.6% 3.7% 0.5%
Cecilia Dietsch 12.4% 11.5% 12.2% 12.1% 13.2% 12.3% 10.6% 8.8% 5.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Alex Schlotterer 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 3.0% 2.4% 3.0% 4.6% 6.0% 12.4% 39.8% 24.3%
Piper Luke 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 5.0% 18.4% 67.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.