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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.50+3.54vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.76+2.22vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+0.39vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51-1.32vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.71vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35-1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.12vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.70+0.43vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.23-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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4.22Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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3.39St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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2.68Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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4.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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4.79Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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8.43Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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6.77George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Pryne | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Stephanie Roble | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 20.4% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 29.9% | 24.7% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 11.3% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 1.5% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 22.8% | 21.0% | 4.9% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 10.7% | 77.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 38.2% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.