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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+4.48vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+0.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+2.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.36vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.88+2.19vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+1.23vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.79+2.06vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.62+1.28vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.70+0.33vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.24+1.06vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.10+0.93vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.04vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-3.12vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.27-1.51vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.54-4.29vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.09-9.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Harvard University2.109.7%1st Place
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2.72Stanford University3.3032.8%1st Place
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5.25Boston College2.4010.5%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.4%1st Place
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7.19Cornell University1.886.3%1st Place
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7.23University of South Florida1.605.9%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.2%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island0.792.5%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University0.622.9%1st Place
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10.33University of Wisconsin0.702.1%1st Place
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12.06University of Vermont0.241.6%1st Place
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12.93University of Rhode Island-0.101.0%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Naval Academy0.522.5%1st Place
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10.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.6%1st Place
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13.49SUNY Maritime College-0.270.8%1st Place
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11.71Fordham University0.541.9%1st Place
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7.44North Carolina State University1.095.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 32.8% | 23.2% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 22.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% |
| Brook Wood | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 27.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.