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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+8.19vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+2.61vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.39vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+2.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.02vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+1.05vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University2.37+5.32vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.68-0.21vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University1.91+4.78vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-2.73vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.73vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.76-7.32vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University2.21-0.23vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.42+0.81vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.01vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-6.10vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame1.37-1.85vs Predicted
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18University of Florida2.84-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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4.61Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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7.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.02Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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12.32Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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13.78Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.27Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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4.68College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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12.77Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.81Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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14.99Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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15.15University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 13.4% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Adam Pokras | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Feik | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 8.8% |
| William Bailey | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 15.3% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Philip Krause | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 24.8% |
| John Reddaway | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 25.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Power | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 28.4% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.