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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+4.07vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.43vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30-0.29vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.88+3.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.52+5.80vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.70vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+3.32vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09-0.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.62vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.24+2.02vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.27+2.41vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.04vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.70-2.64vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.54-2.21vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.10-2.00vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.62-5.82vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.60-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Boston College2.4011.7%1st Place
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5.43Harvard University2.1011.0%1st Place
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2.71Stanford University3.3032.6%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University1.885.4%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Naval Academy0.522.1%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.0%1st Place
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10.32St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.2%1st Place
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7.42North Carolina State University1.095.9%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.3%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont0.241.6%1st Place
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13.41SUNY Maritime College-0.271.3%1st Place
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10.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.561.8%1st Place
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10.36University of Wisconsin0.702.4%1st Place
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11.79Fordham University0.541.8%1st Place
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13.0University of Rhode Island-0.101.3%1st Place
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10.18Roger Williams University0.621.9%1st Place
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7.2University of South Florida1.605.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 32.6% | 24.0% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lily Flack | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.3% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 28.5% |
| Brook Wood | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 22.8% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.