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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+4.40vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+6.50vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+2.21vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.70vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.70+5.42vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.62+4.20vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+4.11vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.30-5.27vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+1.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.52+0.81vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.09-3.54vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.88-5.15vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.60-6.01vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.54-2.27vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.24-3.01vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-0.10-2.86vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.27-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Harvard University2.1010.3%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.0%1st Place
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5.21Boston College2.4010.5%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.5%1st Place
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10.42University of Wisconsin0.701.9%1st Place
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10.2Roger Williams University0.622.5%1st Place
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11.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.561.9%1st Place
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2.73Stanford University3.3033.4%1st Place
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10.35St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.4%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Naval Academy0.521.9%1st Place
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7.46North Carolina State University1.095.8%1st Place
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6.85Cornell University1.887.6%1st Place
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6.99University of South Florida1.606.3%1st Place
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11.73Fordham University0.541.7%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont0.241.4%1st Place
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13.14University of Rhode Island-0.101.1%1st Place
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13.4SUNY Maritime College-0.270.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Brook Wood | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 33.4% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Flack | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Moran | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 22.4% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.