← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.30+1.69vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.40+3.15vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.39vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University1.79+2.66vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University0.54+6.96vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.59vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.60-0.05vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.24+3.77vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+1.79vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin0.70+0.13vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy0.52-0.29vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University1.09-4.62vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.88-6.05vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-3.65vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island-0.10-1.93vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University0.62-5.82vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College-0.27-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.69Stanford University3.3033.1%1st Place
-
5.15Boston College2.4011.2%1st Place
-
8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.4%1st Place
-
6.66Harvard University1.797.3%1st Place
-
11.96Fordham University0.541.5%1st Place
-
6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.8%1st Place
-
6.95University of South Florida1.606.7%1st Place
-
11.77University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
-
10.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.4%1st Place
-
10.13University of Wisconsin0.702.9%1st Place
-
10.71U. S. Naval Academy0.522.5%1st Place
-
7.38North Carolina State University1.096.2%1st Place
-
6.95Cornell University1.886.7%1st Place
-
10.35St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.3%1st Place
-
13.07University of Rhode Island-0.100.9%1st Place
-
10.18Roger Williams University0.622.8%1st Place
-
13.28SUNY Maritime College-0.270.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 33.1% | 24.6% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% |
| Brook Wood | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lily Flack | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 23.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.