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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.20vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.76+2.51vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+3.59vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.94vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.21+7.27vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.68+1.77vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-2.47vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36+0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Florida2.84+1.49vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.74vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+3.47vs Predicted
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12Tulane University0.77+3.92vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-6.12vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.88-7.13vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University0.34+1.42vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame1.37-1.43vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University2.37-4.90vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.11-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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4.51College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.27Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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4.53Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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8.69University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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7.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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14.47Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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15.92Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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16.42Texas A&M University0.340.0%1st Place
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14.57University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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12.1Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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9.51Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 13.7% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Adam Pokras | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 11.0% |
| Michael Swanson | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 27.1% | 30.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis James | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 23.3% | 44.4% |
| Patrick Power | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 17.3% | 11.2% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.