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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.65vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.88+5.04vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30-0.41vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+1.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.26vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52+4.72vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.79-0.28vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09-0.46vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.62+1.28vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.70-0.01vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-0.81vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.60-5.16vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24-1.23vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.10-1.03vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-4.02vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.27-2.66vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.54-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.9%1st Place
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7.04Cornell University1.886.5%1st Place
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2.59Stanford University3.3034.8%1st Place
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5.15Boston College2.4012.8%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.8%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Naval Academy0.522.1%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University1.796.4%1st Place
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7.54North Carolina State University1.094.4%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University0.622.4%1st Place
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9.99University of Wisconsin0.703.2%1st Place
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10.19St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.5%1st Place
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6.84University of South Florida1.605.9%1st Place
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11.77University of Vermont0.242.1%1st Place
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12.97University of Rhode Island-0.101.1%1st Place
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10.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.1%1st Place
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13.34SUNY Maritime College-0.270.7%1st Place
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11.99Fordham University0.541.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 34.8% | 24.0% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Lily Flack | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 22.2% |
| Brook Wood | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 27.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.