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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.79+5.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.07+3.04vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+3.39vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+0.52vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island-0.10+6.66vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52+3.26vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.52+1.57vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.62-0.21vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.70-1.09vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24-0.48vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-3.07vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.54-2.34vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.27-1.84vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-5.29vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-9.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Harvard University1.799.6%1st Place
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5.04Stanford University2.0713.6%1st Place
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6.39Cornell University1.889.7%1st Place
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4.52Boston College2.4015.8%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.1%1st Place
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12.66University of Rhode Island-0.101.6%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Naval Academy0.523.3%1st Place
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6.89North Carolina State University1.098.1%1st Place
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10.57University of South Florida0.523.0%1st Place
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9.79Roger Williams University0.623.5%1st Place
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9.91University of Wisconsin0.703.5%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont0.242.0%1st Place
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9.93St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.2%1st Place
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11.66Fordham University0.542.5%1st Place
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13.16SUNY Maritime College-0.271.3%1st Place
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10.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.7%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella Marlo | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.6% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.8% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 20.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Heidi Hicks | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% |
| Lily Flack | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 26.4% |
| Brook Wood | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Emma Snead | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.