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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.89+4.16vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.65vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+2.64vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Florida3.41+1.51vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.95-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.04+0.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-2.83vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.37-2.18vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.47-0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame0.86+3.06vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.28+0.68vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.85-4.88vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.87-2.68vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology0.46-0.29vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.70-1.80vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.77-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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5.65St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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6.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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5.3Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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5.78College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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6.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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10.61Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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15.06University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
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13.68Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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12.32Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.71Georgia Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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15.2Texas A&M University0.700.0%1st Place
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14.89Tulane University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 12.4% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Philip Crain | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Christian Koerwer | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 19.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 7.1% |
| Andrew Fox | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Elliot Newnham | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 31.8% |
| Travis Conger | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 22.2% |
| Michael Swanson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.