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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+7.17vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+2.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+3.31vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.07+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.52+5.72vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.22vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.79-0.92vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.91vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.62+0.86vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-0.09vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.09-3.84vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.41vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24-1.25vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.27-0.87vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.70-5.06vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-0.10-3.20vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.54-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.2%1st Place
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4.65Boston College2.4016.3%1st Place
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6.31Harvard University1.799.3%1st Place
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5.21Stanford University2.0713.4%1st Place
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10.72University of South Florida0.523.1%1st Place
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9.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.6%1st Place
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6.08Cornell University1.799.1%1st Place
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6.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.8%1st Place
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9.86Roger Williams University0.623.8%1st Place
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9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.614.1%1st Place
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7.16North Carolina State University1.097.2%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy0.523.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Vermont0.242.2%1st Place
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13.13SUNY Maritime College-0.271.2%1st Place
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9.94University of Wisconsin0.703.3%1st Place
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12.8University of Rhode Island-0.101.9%1st Place
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11.41Fordham University0.542.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.3% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Lily Flack | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.2% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 26.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 20.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.