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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.79+4.36vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.07+2.29vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+3.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.13vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.02vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+3.12vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40-3.35vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-2.96vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.54+1.46vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.52-0.41vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24-0.26vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.49vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.62-4.07vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.27-1.77vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-6.07vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island-0.10-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.7%1st Place
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6.36Harvard University1.798.7%1st Place
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5.29Stanford University2.0713.3%1st Place
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7.11North Carolina State University1.098.2%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.8%1st Place
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9.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.0%1st Place
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10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.5%1st Place
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4.65Boston College2.4016.0%1st Place
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6.04Cornell University1.7910.1%1st Place
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11.46Fordham University0.542.6%1st Place
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10.59University of South Florida0.523.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Vermont0.242.2%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Naval Academy0.523.5%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University0.623.5%1st Place
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13.23SUNY Maritime College-0.271.6%1st Place
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9.93University of Wisconsin0.703.5%1st Place
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12.87University of Rhode Island-0.101.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brooke Schmelz | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Marbella Marlo | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Ellie Harned | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Isabella du Plessis | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Emma Snead | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Elizabeth Starck | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
Lily Flack | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
Michaela O'Brien | 16.0% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sophia Devling | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Caroline Sandoval | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% |
Heidi Hicks | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
Caitlin Derby | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
Caylin Schnoor | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
Isabelle Gautier | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 27.2% |
Mary Castellini | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
Elizabeth Taylor | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.