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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+5.99vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+4.10vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+3.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.06vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.52+3.62vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.07-2.91vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.52+1.67vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.54+1.51vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.62-1.07vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.27+1.29vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-2.94vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.10-1.28vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.70-4.97vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-4.37vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-7.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99North Carolina State University1.099.2%1st Place
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6.1Cornell University1.799.9%1st Place
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6.22Harvard University1.7910.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.0%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.2%1st Place
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4.73Boston College2.4015.2%1st Place
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10.62University of South Florida0.522.8%1st Place
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5.09Stanford University2.0713.5%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Naval Academy0.522.9%1st Place
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11.51Fordham University0.542.2%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University0.623.6%1st Place
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13.29SUNY Maritime College-0.271.2%1st Place
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10.06St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Rhode Island-0.101.7%1st Place
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10.03University of Wisconsin0.703.1%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont0.242.1%1st Place
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9.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Marbella Marlo | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 26.5% |
| Lily Flack | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 21.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.