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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+6.06vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19+1.81vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.79+2.22vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.79+1.12vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.41vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.52+3.72vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54+3.62vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+1.18vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.40-5.37vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.09-3.94vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24-0.43vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.62-3.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.52-3.35vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.27-1.92vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-0.10-3.29vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.70-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.5%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.4%1st Place
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4.81Stanford University2.1916.4%1st Place
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6.22Harvard University1.798.0%1st Place
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6.12Cornell University1.7910.6%1st Place
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9.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.3%1st Place
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10.72University of South Florida0.522.6%1st Place
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11.62Fordham University0.542.1%1st Place
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10.18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.2%1st Place
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4.63Boston College2.4016.1%1st Place
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7.06North Carolina State University1.097.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Vermont0.242.4%1st Place
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9.92Roger Williams University0.623.5%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Naval Academy0.523.2%1st Place
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13.08SUNY Maritime College-0.271.4%1st Place
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12.71University of Rhode Island-0.101.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Wisconsin0.704.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 16.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% |
| Lily Flack | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.1% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 28.2% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 19.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.