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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+1.70vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.39+2.86vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.68vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.83vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35-1.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.50-2.54vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.70+0.40vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.23-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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4.86Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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5.68University of Pennsylvania2.790.1%1st Place
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4.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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4.74Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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8.4Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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6.69George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 30.6% | 23.2% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 20.1% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 4.9% |
| Caroline Patten | 12.2% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.3% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 1.8% |
| Christina Pryne | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 11.1% | 76.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 36.1% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.