Race 11A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Michels 26.2% 21.5% 17.2% 12.3% 9.4% 6.5% 4.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Dodge 9.4% 10.4% 10.8% 10.2% 11.6% 12.3% 12.7% 11.0% 8.1% 3.3% 0.2%
Cecilia Dietsch 11.3% 11.9% 12.0% 14.4% 13.1% 11.9% 10.2% 8.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Julia Janssen 7.7% 8.3% 10.0% 10.4% 11.7% 10.8% 11.7% 12.3% 12.2% 4.5% 0.5%
Marco Constantini 11.9% 11.5% 11.9% 12.6% 13.2% 10.9% 12.1% 8.9% 5.0% 1.8% 0.1%
John McCalmont 12.4% 13.4% 12.4% 11.5% 11.4% 11.1% 10.0% 9.8% 6.2% 1.4% 0.5%
Caroline Henry 9.6% 9.8% 11.6% 10.8% 11.9% 11.8% 12.5% 11.3% 7.2% 3.1% 0.3%
Carly Irwin 6.6% 7.5% 7.6% 9.8% 8.5% 10.8% 12.7% 15.7% 14.0% 5.8% 1.0%
Piper Luke 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 2.0% 1.6% 2.8% 5.0% 18.6% 66.5%
Luke Sadalla 3.1% 3.4% 4.0% 4.9% 5.9% 7.5% 8.5% 12.1% 24.6% 20.5% 5.5%
Alex Schlotterer 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 4.2% 4.1% 5.6% 12.3% 39.2% 25.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.