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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+3.84vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.99vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.52+6.65vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.79+1.33vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.17vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.40-2.32vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54+3.74vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+1.09vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.62-0.14vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.79-4.88vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24-0.45vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.10-0.14vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.52-3.41vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.27-1.71vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-6.16vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.09-9.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Stanford University2.1913.8%1st Place
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6.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6310.3%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.8%1st Place
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10.65University of South Florida0.522.8%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University1.799.2%1st Place
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9.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.7%1st Place
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4.68Boston College2.4016.6%1st Place
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11.74Fordham University0.541.9%1st Place
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10.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.5%1st Place
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9.86Roger Williams University0.623.7%1st Place
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6.12Cornell University1.798.6%1st Place
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11.55University of Vermont0.242.2%1st Place
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12.86University of Rhode Island-0.101.2%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy0.522.9%1st Place
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13.29SUNY Maritime College-0.271.4%1st Place
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9.84University of Wisconsin0.703.6%1st Place
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7.11North Carolina State University1.097.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 13.8% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.6% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% |
| Lily Flack | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.6% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 21.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 26.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.