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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+6.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.89+4.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+2.41vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.85+5.30vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04+2.85vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.95-1.25vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.36-3.45vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-2.78vs Predicted
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10University of Florida3.41-2.25vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.28vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame0.86+3.23vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.87-0.70vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.47-3.58vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.39-1.28vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology0.46-0.19vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.27-2.93vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University0.70-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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5.41Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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6.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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5.75College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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4.55Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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5.72St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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15.23University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
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12.3Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.42Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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13.72Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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15.81Georgia Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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14.07Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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15.18Texas A&M University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 12.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Louis Padnos | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Crain | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Koerwer | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 23.5% |
| Paul Foley | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Adam Keally | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Payne | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% |
| Elliot Newnham | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 21.5% | 34.9% |
| Jacob Bruce | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 8.8% |
| Travis Conger | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 20.5% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.