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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+4.54vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+2.77vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+3.11vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+2.66vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+2.57vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.85+3.44vs Predicted
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7University of Florida3.41+0.58vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.95-2.27vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-2.79vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.47+0.80vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.29vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University0.70+3.55vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.39+0.57vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii3.04-5.45vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.28-0.97vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.87-3.48vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame0.86-1.97vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology0.46-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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4.77Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.11Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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5.73College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.8Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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15.55Texas A&M University0.700.0%1st Place
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13.57Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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14.03Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.52Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
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15.64Georgia Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.1% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.9% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Crain | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Fletcher Sims | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Conger | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 29.1% |
| Alexandra Payne | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 6.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Paul Foley | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Christian Koerwer | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 19.3% |
| Elliot Newnham | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.