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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.52+0.94vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67-0.27vs Predicted
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3Bates College-1.61+0.56vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College-0.52-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Bowdoin College0.5236.0%1st Place
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1.73Bates College0.6746.5%1st Place
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3.56Bates College-1.614.1%1st Place
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2.77Bowdoin College-0.5213.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kique Ruiz | 36.0% | 38.1% | 21.7% | 4.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 46.5% | 35.9% | 15.4% | 2.2% |
| Ethan Baker | 4.1% | 6.8% | 18.2% | 70.9% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 13.5% | 19.1% | 44.6% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.