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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.81vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.47vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+3.89vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.37+3.53vs Predicted
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5University of Florida3.41+2.48vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-0.44vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.95-1.22vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-1.76vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-3.06vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.04-0.99vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.85-1.46vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University0.70+3.56vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.47-2.54vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.39-0.50vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.87-2.55vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology0.46-0.16vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.28-2.92vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame0.86-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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5.47Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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5.78College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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5.94Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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15.56Texas A&M University0.700.0%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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13.5Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.45Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.84Georgia Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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14.08Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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14.85University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 14.9% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Crain | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Fox | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Travis Conger | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 28.7% |
| Adam Keally | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Payne | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 6.4% |
| Paul Foley | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Elliot Newnham | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 20.7% | 36.1% |
| Ryan Anderson | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 8.8% |
| Christian Koerwer | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.