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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.67+0.77vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.52-0.09vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College-0.52-0.25vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.61-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Bates College0.6744.9%1st Place
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1.91Bowdoin College0.5238.1%1st Place
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2.75Bowdoin College-0.5213.0%1st Place
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3.57Bates College-1.614.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 44.9% | 36.0% | 16.8% | 2.4% |
| Kique Ruiz | 38.1% | 36.8% | 20.9% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 13.0% | 20.3% | 45.1% | 21.6% |
| Ethan Baker | 4.0% | 6.9% | 17.2% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.