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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+5.53vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.36vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.47+7.59vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.34vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+2.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Florida3.41+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.85+1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04-0.58vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.89-4.23vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.36-6.60vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.64-5.31vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.28+0.83vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.39-0.54vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University0.70+0.33vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame0.86-0.97vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology0.46-1.19vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.87-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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10.59Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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7.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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4.96Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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5.77Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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4.4Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.69College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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13.83Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.46Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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15.33Texas A&M University0.700.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
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15.81Georgia Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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12.08Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Padnos | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Keally | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 11.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 17.2% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 9.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 6.7% |
| Travis Conger | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 22.5% | 24.1% |
| Christian Koerwer | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 21.0% |
| Elliot Newnham | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 21.2% | 36.2% |
| Paul Foley | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.