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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.52+0.92vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67-0.20vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College-0.52-0.23vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.61-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Bowdoin College0.5238.1%1st Place
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1.8Bates College0.6743.0%1st Place
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2.77Bowdoin College-0.5213.1%1st Place
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3.51Bates College-1.615.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kique Ruiz | 38.1% | 36.0% | 21.4% | 4.4% |
| Ted Lutton | 43.0% | 38.0% | 15.6% | 3.5% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 13.1% | 18.8% | 45.7% | 22.4% |
| Ethan Baker | 5.9% | 7.1% | 17.3% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.