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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.67+0.80vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.52-0.11vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College-0.52-0.24vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.61-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Bates College0.6743.8%1st Place
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1.89Bowdoin College0.5239.2%1st Place
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2.76Bowdoin College-0.5213.2%1st Place
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3.56Bates College-1.613.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 43.8% | 35.9% | 17.2% | 3.1% |
| Kique Ruiz | 39.2% | 36.6% | 20.0% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 13.2% | 19.4% | 46.2% | 21.2% |
| Ethan Baker | 3.9% | 8.1% | 16.7% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.