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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.87+1.67vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67+0.80vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.79+2.75vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.72-1.05vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.83vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Northeastern University1.2622.0%1st Place
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3.67University of Vermont0.8717.9%1st Place
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3.8Bates College0.6716.6%1st Place
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6.75Middlebury College-0.793.5%1st Place
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3.95University of Vermont0.7215.2%1st Place
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4.53Maine Maritime Academy0.4110.8%1st Place
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7.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.5%1st Place
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6.17University of New Hampshire-0.005.2%1st Place
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5.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.096.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 22.0% | 19.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 17.9% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Ted Lutton | 16.6% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Grace Augspurger | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 23.5% | 27.5% |
| Ryan Potter | 15.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Kate Myler | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 40.8% |
| James Sullivan | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 16.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.