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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+6.62vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+4.09vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+2.03vs Predicted
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4University of Florida3.41+3.08vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.85+4.04vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+0.43vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.47+3.37vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.90vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.36-4.76vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.28+4.03vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.39+2.64vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.87+0.55vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University0.70+2.12vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame0.86+0.73vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii3.04-6.58vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology0.46-0.24vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.64-10.44vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.37-10.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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6.09Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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5.03Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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6.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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10.37Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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4.24Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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14.03Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.64Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.55Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.12Texas A&M University0.700.0%1st Place
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14.73University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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15.76Georgia Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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6.56College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Louis Padnos | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| David Alfonso | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 17.0% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 9.7% |
| Alexandra Payne | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 7.4% |
| Paul Foley | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Travis Conger | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 25.4% |
| Christian Koerwer | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 18.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elliot Newnham | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 35.3% |
| Mac Mace | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.