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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.31vs Predicted
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2University of Florida3.41+5.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+1.37vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.85+3.99vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.47vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.47+3.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37-0.74vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-4.14vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.64-3.37vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.28+2.95vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University0.70+3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-4.70vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame0.86+0.69vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.39-1.40vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.87-3.65vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-10.52vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology0.46-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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4.37Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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10.36Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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4.86Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.63College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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13.95Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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15.51Texas A&M University0.700.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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14.69University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
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13.6Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.35Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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6.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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15.6Georgia Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.7% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| William Hutchings | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 13.8% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 10.6% |
| Travis Conger | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 19.9% | 29.6% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Christian Koerwer | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 17.4% |
| Alexandra Payne | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 7.4% |
| Paul Foley | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Louis Padnos | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Newnham | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 23.3% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.