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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+2.20vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+3.61vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.720.00vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.87-1.24vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.58vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.79-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Northeastern University1.2622.4%1st Place
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5.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.097.3%1st Place
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3.86Bates College0.6715.7%1st Place
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4.0University of Vermont0.7215.8%1st Place
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3.76University of Vermont0.8715.1%1st Place
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4.42Maine Maritime Academy0.4111.8%1st Place
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6.83Middlebury College-0.793.9%1st Place
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6.16University of New Hampshire-0.005.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 22.4% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 10.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 15.7% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 15.8% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 15.1% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Grace Augspurger | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 22.4% | 29.3% |
| James Sullivan | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 20.9% | 15.6% |
| Kate Myler | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.