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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.87+1.75vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.79+3.69vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.67-0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.72-1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.12vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.41vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.41-3.43vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Northeastern University1.2622.4%1st Place
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3.75University of Vermont0.8716.8%1st Place
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6.69Middlebury College-0.794.2%1st Place
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3.94Bates College0.6715.4%1st Place
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3.99University of Vermont0.7216.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.8%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.096.3%1st Place
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4.57Maine Maritime Academy0.4110.9%1st Place
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6.16University of New Hampshire-0.005.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 22.4% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 16.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Grace Augspurger | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 22.9% | 26.7% |
| Ted Lutton | 15.4% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 16.0% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Kate Myler | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 39.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 9.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| James Sullivan | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.