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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.47vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.60vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.34vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+2.31vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12-0.06vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80-0.05vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.47+3.37vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-1.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.37-1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame0.86+5.02vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.27+2.94vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii3.04-3.26vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.39+0.47vs Predicted
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14University of Florida3.41-7.06vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.85-5.97vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.87-3.64vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.70-1.69vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology0.46-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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4.94Boston College4.120.2%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.37Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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6.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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15.02University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
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13.94Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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13.47Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.94University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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12.36Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.31Texas A&M University0.700.0%1st Place
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15.58Georgia Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 15.7% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 15.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Koerwer | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 20.7% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 10.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Payne | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 7.8% |
| William Heausler | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Travis Conger | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 22.0% | 26.8% |
| Elliot Newnham | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 20.8% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.