Race 1A

3-way-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Connor Trepton 36.1% 33.2% 18.7% 9.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessie Olson 12.4% 18.9% 30.8% 18.9% 11.9% 5.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Wefer 37.8% 31.2% 18.2% 9.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Cottle 5.8% 7.9% 12.7% 25.4% 23.8% 15.4% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6%
Ryan Mabie 2.4% 3.4% 6.6% 15.0% 19.2% 20.2% 15.8% 12.0% 5.4%
David Gates 2.0% 2.5% 5.6% 10.2% 17.8% 21.9% 20.6% 13.2% 6.2%
Christopher Avallone 1.0% 1.1% 2.8% 4.1% 8.7% 14.0% 21.0% 25.7% 21.6%
Harry Posner 1.0% 0.8% 1.9% 3.5% 6.5% 8.7% 16.2% 22.4% 39.0%
Harrison Faust 1.5% 1.0% 2.7% 4.4% 7.3% 12.9% 18.6% 24.4% 27.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.