← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.26+2.30vs Predicted
-
2Bates College0.67+1.84vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.87+0.73vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-0.79+2.73vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+0.58vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont0.72-2.00vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+0.20vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.41-3.55vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.3Northeastern University1.2621.6%1st Place
-
3.84Bates College0.6716.6%1st Place
-
3.73University of Vermont0.8718.4%1st Place
-
6.73Middlebury College-0.793.3%1st Place
-
5.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.095.5%1st Place
-
4.0University of Vermont0.7214.9%1st Place
-
7.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.9%1st Place
-
4.45Maine Maritime Academy0.4112.0%1st Place
-
6.18University of New Hampshire-0.004.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 21.6% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ted Lutton | 16.6% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 18.4% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Grace Augspurger | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 22.8% | 27.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 9.4% |
| Ryan Potter | 14.9% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Kate Myler | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 20.8% | 39.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| James Sullivan | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.