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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04-0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.15-0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.67+2.11vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.16-1.64vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.34-1.31vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University0.17-2.03vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.53-2.02vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-0.92-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
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2.17University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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3.12University of Minnesota2.150.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Wisconsin-0.670.0%1st Place
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4.36Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.69Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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5.97Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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6.98Marquette University-0.530.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Trepton | 37.7% | 30.6% | 19.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 34.2% | 32.3% | 20.4% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Olson | 15.0% | 19.0% | 27.2% | 22.6% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Faust | 1.0% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 23.1% | 26.9% |
| Travis Cottle | 6.1% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 24.7% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Mabie | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 20.7% | 22.9% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| David Gates | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 21.6% | 14.6% | 5.6% |
| Christopher Avallone | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 22.9% | 23.6% |
| Harry Posner | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 24.2% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.