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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.72+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.87+1.91vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67+0.91vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+1.46vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.26-2.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.27vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.79-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of Vermont0.7214.6%1st Place
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3.91University of Vermont0.8715.8%1st Place
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3.91Bates College0.6715.0%1st Place
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4.6Maine Maritime Academy0.4110.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.524.5%1st Place
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3.18Northeastern University1.2624.4%1st Place
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5.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.096.4%1st Place
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6.91Middlebury College-0.793.3%1st Place
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6.21University of New Hampshire-0.005.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Potter | 14.6% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Ted Lutton | 15.0% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Marshall Rodes | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 25.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 24.4% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 12.6% |
| Grace Augspurger | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 32.4% |
| James Sullivan | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.